Trase Yearbook 2020
The state of forest risk supply chains
A review of commodity deforestation and expansion, the traders and markets that dominate exports and their exposure to associated deforestation risk, and the effectiveness of zero-deforestation commitments for half of global trade in forest-risk commodities.
Pace of pasture deforestation slows in the Chaco – but for how long?
While pasture deforestation has slowed in recent years, cattle deforestation risk associated with exports from the Paraguayan Chaco in 2018 are double that of Brazilian beef exports. The deforestation risk per tonne is more than 10 times higher than that for Brazilian beef exports.
There was 54,460 ha of deforestation in the Paraguayan Chaco in 2018
Paraguay is experiencing some of the most intensive deforestation in the world in its Chaco region, and in recent years the cattle industry has been by far its biggest direct driver. Although cattle deforestation slowed significantly in recent years, there are signs it could soon accelerate again.
Beef production is a vital part of Paraguay’s economy, accounting for 20% of the country’s export revenue in 2018.
Cattle is the main driver of deforestation in the Chaco
of deforestation in the Paraguayan Chaco was driven by pasture expansion in 2018
A significant proportion of Paraguay’s cattle herd (45%) is raised in the western part of the country, where most of Paraguay’s remaining intact Chaco forest is found. Between 2010 and 2018 the Paraguayan part of the Chaco biome lost more than 2 million hectares of native vegetation, largely due to the expansion of cattle pasture. The Dry Chaco region in particular has seen some of the highest rates of deforestation in the world in the past decade.
Between 2014 and 2018, pasture deforestation in the Dry Chaco totalled 820,000 ha and accounted for nearly all direct deforestation – although the expansion of other crops, including soy, may well be indirect drivers. Over this period there was a further 76,400 ha of pasture deforestation in the Humid Chaco region. Together, this pasture deforestation is associated with 210 million tonnes of CO2 emissions .
However, deforestation in the Chaco is declining, at only 54,000 ha in 2018, down from 400,000 ha in 2010.
of deforestation risk per 1,000 tonnes of beef exports sourced in the Chaco in 2018
Much of the deforestation in Paraguay was permitted under Paraguayan law. While a zero-deforestation law applies to eastern Paraguay, in western Paraguay (including the Dry Chaco and most of the Humid Chaco), if a property is larger than 20 ha, up to 45% of forest must be preserved as legal reserve and buffers for pasture and riparian areas .
Exports bring high relative deforestation risk exposure
The top 5 exporter groups accounted for 88% of export volume and 85% of linked deforestation risk in 2018
Paraguay exported 466,000 tonnes of beef in 2018 . The main export markets were Russia (43%) and Chile (24%), followed by Vietnam (7%), Brazil (5%) and Israel (4%). Very little Paraguayan beef went to China (2%) or the European Union (2%).
Trase estimates that in 2018, 70% of Paraguay’s exports came from the Chaco. These exports were associated with 238,000 ha of deforestation risk. These exports have a relative deforestation risk of 734 ha per 1,000 tonnes. This is much higher than the risk associated with Brazilian beef exports in 2017, whether from the Cerrado (55 ha/kt) or the Amazon (80 ha/kt).
The Dry Chaco accounted for approximately 92% and Humid Chaco 8% of the cattle deforestation risk associated with beef exports from the Chaco.
Note that currently due to data limitations Trase cannot currently calculate cattle deforestation risk for years prior to 2018 in the Chaco or for any years in the Atlantic Forest biome (in the east of the country).
Few active exporters
Minerva dominate Paraguayan beef exports after acquisition of JBSSee insight
Only 14 companies exported Paraguayan beef in 2016–2018, and of these just five accounted for 88% of exports in 2018. The Brazilian Minerva group replaced Paraguayan meat producer, processor and trader Frigorífico Concepción in 2017 as the biggest exporter of Paraguayan beef, after Minerva bought up JBS Paraguay’s operations. (Minerva already owned the trader Frigomerc.) The Minerva group accounted for 42% (195,203 t) of Paraguay’s beef exports in 2018, Frigorífico Concepción for 24% (110,793 t). Mennonite cooperatives such as Cooperativa Fernheim, Cooperativa Chortitzer and Cooperativa Neuland together accounted for 22% of exports.
No trader zero-deforestation commitments
Labour rights and Paraguayan beef exportsSee insight
None of the companies exporting beef from Paraguay has a zero-deforestation commitment (ZDC) that applies to Paraguayan beef exports. The dominant trader, Minerva does have a commitment for the Brazilian Amazon but is yet to extend it to other sourcing regions . Beyond deforestation, the cattle industry in the Chaco is linked to issues such as slave labour , child labour and encroachment into indigenous land. None of the major exporter groups in 2018 had made any public commitments to address these issues in Paraguay.
(1 out of 6) of beef-producing departments accounted for half of cattle deforestation risk in the Chaco in 2018
In addition, there is currently little demand-side pressure on the industry. None of the main export destinations is a signatory of the New York Declaration on Forests or the Amsterdam Declarations , and the beef industry in Paraguay has so far escaped the kind of scrutiny the industry has attracted elsewhere, and especially in the Brazilian Amazon.
Increased production – and deforestation – on the horizon?
Paraguay has ambitious economic development plans for the livestock sector that include a significant increase in the herd size. Planned new roads in the Chaco, including the Bi-Oceanic Corridor, which will connect the Paraguayan Chaco to Brazilian, Chilean and Argentinian ports, is likely to bring with it expansion of production and deforestation.
of beef exports were covered by a public zero-deforestation commitment in 2018
However, Paraguay’s first nationally determined contribution under the Paris Agreement and national development plan recognise the need to control deforestation and increase the area of protected forest. Alongside the long-term trend of declining deforestation, there are recent signs of stronger efforts to address deforestation. These include a planned Forest Atlas , which will increase transparency on land-use change data, and the reversal of Decree 7702 , which enabled producers in the Chaco to clear all forest on their property.
Access to markets with higher environmental standards and greater consumer and company awareness of deforestation risks, such as the EU and the US, may bring increased pressure on the beef sector in Paraguay to improve the environmental and social safeguards associated with beef production.
More information on data sources and methods .